Legea lui Moore a murit

Intel a introdus pe piata primele procesoare pe 14 nm in anul 2014. Ar putea introduce pe 10 nm in 2019. Dupa 5 ani, pe bune? Parca era vorba ca trebuie la doi ani cel mult. Nu zic ca siliciu si-a atins

and projected this rate of growth would continue for at least another decade.[3] In 1975,[4] looking forward to the next decade,[5] he revised the forecast to doubling every two years.[6][7][8] The period is often quoted as 18 months because of Intel executive David House, who predicted that chip performance would double every 18 months (being a combination of the effect of more transistors and the transistors being faster).[9]

Moore's prediction proved accurate for several decades, and has been used in the semiconductor industry to guide long-term planning and to set targets for research and development.[10] Advancements in digital electronics are strongly linked to Moore's law: quality-adjusted microprocessor prices,[11] memory capacity, sensors and even the number and size of pixels in digital cameras.[12] Digital electronics has contributed to world economic growth in the late twentieth and early twenty-first centuries.[13] Moore's law describes a driving force of technological and social change, productivity, and economic growth.[14][15][16][17]

Moore's law is an observation and projection of an historical trend and not a physical or natural law. Although the rate held steady from 1975 until around 2012, the rate was faster during the first decade. In general, it is not logically sound to extrapolate from the historical growth rate into the indefinite future. For example, the 2010 update to the International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors, predicted that growth would slow around 2013,[18] and in 2015 Gordon Moore foresaw that the rate of progress would reach saturation: "I see Moore's law dying here in the next decade or so."[19]


Intel stated in 2015 that the pace of advancement has slowed, starting at the 22 nm feature width around 2012, and continuing at 14 nm.[20] Brian Krzanich, CEO of Intel, announced, "Our cadence today is closer to two and a half years than two." Intel is expected to reach the 10 nm node in 2018, a three-year cadence.[21][22] He cited Moore's 1975 revision as a precedent for the current deceleration, which results from technical challenges and is "a natural part of the history of Moore's law".[23][24][25]
https://en.wikipedia...Moore's_law

Pai daca AMD a facut nani o vreme buna?

când văd replici dastea parcă ar spune dragnea e de vină.
AMD au avut si ei ceva noroc cândva si la cpu cand intel experimenta pe cumpărători ceva, in rest nu au ei calibrul intelului la cpu, cel putin nu au baza de clienti fideli asa vasta.

Păi nu au miniaturizat destul că nu-i nevoie, pc-uri laptopuri sunt deja o piaţă mai scăzută decât acum 6-10 ani, e normal să nu mai facă eforturi prea mari in domeniu. Se fac experimental cpu altfel cum spuneau si altii, dar la ce folos să le bage in rafturi doar ca să faci niste teste inutile si să rulezi orthos??

Si dacă incă pc-uri de 10 ani fac treaba la ce să mai indese piaţa cu altele noi? doar de dragul risipei?
Se fac profituri porcoase cu plăcile video rafturi goale, asicuri. Până şi la plăcile video jocurile merg pe generatii mai vechi de cativa ani.

Mă bucur că pc-urile au cam iesit din casele oamenilor, sunt pe drept cuvânt niste utilaje inutile iar telefoanele si tabletele sunt in mana fiecaruia si-şi fac cu brio treaba. La firme mai sunt inca cnc uri si utilaje comandate la pentium 4 athlon xp si merg mai departe, fără să fie nevoie de schimbare.

Nu mai credeti orice statistica dinasta, 9 si 7nm este deja foarte mic si e la limita conductibilitatii si randamentului. Se compenseaza totusi prin numarul de nuclee.
Tranzistoare experimentale s-au prudus si de 5nm inca de acu 10-12 ani si recordul este chair de 3nm dar una e sa faci experimente si alta e sa improsti milioane de tranzistoare simultan pe o suprafata mica.

Eu niciodata nu am inteles cum de poate promite cineva ca tot la un anumit interval de timp scoate o tehnologie mai buna, care nu exista in prezent si sa se si tina de cuvant.